Overview
The WizAdmissions Admission Calculator is designed to give Nigerian students a realistic assessment of their admission chances at any accredited university in the country. This page explains exactly how we arrive at our recommendations, what data we use, and the limitations of our tool.
We believe in full transparency. Understanding our methodology helps you interpret your results correctly and make better decisions.
How We Determine Admission Probability
When you enter your JAMB score, desired course, and state of origin into our calculator, the system performs the following analysis:
Step 1: Score Matching
Your JAMB UTME score is compared against the official departmental cut-off mark for your chosen course at each university in our database. This is not just the general JAMB cut-off (which is typically 140–200 for most universities), but the specific cut-off that each department sets — which is almost always higher.
Step 2: Historical Trend Analysis
We do not rely on a single year’s data. Our system analyses cut-off marks from the three most recent academic sessions to identify patterns. A university that has consistently raised its cut-off for a particular course over three years is treated differently from one whose cut-off has remained stable.
Step 3: Probability Classification
Based on the gap between your score and the departmental cut-off, we assign a probability level:
- 🟢 High Chance: Your score exceeds the departmental cut-off by 20 or more points. Historically, students in this range have a strong likelihood of admission, subject to O’Level and POST-UTME performance.
- 🟡 Moderate Chance: Your score meets or exceeds the departmental cut-off by 0 to 19 points. Admission is possible but competitive. Your POST-UTME performance and O’Level grades become critical differentiators.
- 🔴 Low Chance: Your score falls below the departmental cut-off. While admission is unlikely through the regular merit list, supplementary or catchment-area considerations may apply in some cases.
Step 4: Results Ranking
Universities are ranked within each probability tier by the size of the gap between your score and their cut-off. This helps you prioritise universities where your admission chances are strongest.
Data Sources
| Data Type | Source | Update Frequency |
|---|---|---|
| General JAMB cut-off marks | JAMB Official Policy Meeting announcements | Annually |
| Departmental cut-off marks | Individual university Senate decisions | Annually |
| POST-UTME details | University official websites | Annually |
| Aggregate formulas | University admission handbooks | Reviewed annually |
| O’Level requirements | JAMB Brochure (IBASS) | Reviewed annually |
| JAMB subject combinations | JAMB Brochure (IBASS) | Reviewed annually |
Limitations and Disclaimers
Our calculator is a guidance tool, not a guarantee. Factors it does not account for include:
- POST-UTME Performance: Many universities weight POST-UTME scores heavily in their aggregate. A high JAMB score with a poor POST-UTME result can still lead to rejection.
- O’Level Grades: Universities consider O’Level performance in their aggregate calculation.
- Catchment Area Policies: Federal universities reserve admission slots for candidates from their catchment states.
- Institutional Discretion: Universities may adjust their cut-off marks mid-cycle or apply internal policies not publicly documented.
- Quota Systems: Educationally Less Developed States (ELDS) quota, staff quota, and discretionary admissions are not modelled.
- Year-to-Year Variation: Cut-off marks can shift based on the number of applicants and available spaces.
How We Ensure Accuracy
- Cross-verification: Every cut-off mark is cross-checked against at least two sources before publication.
- Community feedback: Students who receive admission outcomes different from our predictions can report them.
- Annual audits: We audit our predictions against actual admission outcomes each cycle.
- Dated content: Every data page displays a “Last verified” date.
If you have questions about our methodology, please contact us at hello@wizadmissions.info.